US DOLLAR FORECAST, FED MONETARY POLICY, US GROWTH OUTLOOK– TALKING POINTS
US Greenback, shares eyeing speech by Fed’s John Williams He’s anticipated to supply his outlook on economic system, coverage How can the G20 US-China trad truce affect his tone?
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The US Greenback and fairness markets will probably be carefully watching a speech by FOMC Vice Chairman John C. Williams the place he’ll converse on the matters of world development and outlook for financial coverage. Since February, US financial information has been tending to underperform relative to economists’ expectations and the popularity of the wilting US economic system is being mirrored in a neutral-bordering-on-dovish shift in financial coverage.
Because the US-China commerce battle continued to ravage international markets, the unfavorable ripple results boomeranged again to the US economic system and prompted central financial institution officers – significantly hawks – to pivot towards a extra dovish or as a minimum impartial coverage stance. Whereas it isn’t Jerome Powell who’s talking, commentary from different members can have important market impacts very similar to when James Bullard cooled aggressive price reduce bets.
The US Greenback tumbled after Bullard mentioned 50-bps reduce in July can be “overdoing it”. It’s doable that if Williams expresses dovish undertones, it might marginally enhance price reduce expectations regardless of a current cool-off after the US and China reached a commerce truce on the G20 summit Osaka, Japan. The short-term respite from this elementary headwind despatched the US Greenback larger on the premise that it might trigger a delay in price cuts.
CHART OF THE DAY: USD INDEX (DXY) RE-TESTING FORMER SUPPORT AFTER RATE CUT BETS BEGUN TO COOL
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— Written by Dimitri Zabelin, Jr Foreign money Analyst for DailyFX.com
To contact Dimitri, use the feedback part beneath or @ZabelinDimitrion Twitter